Firefly Aerospace Common Stock Analysis

FLY Stock  USD 19.98  1.55  7.20%   
Firefly Aerospace Common holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.441. Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop to about 159.1 M in 2026. Net Debt is likely to drop to about 46.2 M in 2026 With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Firefly Aerospace's Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Firefly Aerospace's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Firefly Aerospace's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Firefly Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Firefly Aerospace's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Firefly Aerospace, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Firefly Aerospace Common, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Firefly Aerospace's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Book Value
-61 K
Enterprise Value
8.5 B
Price Sales
67.6612
Shares Float
6.7 K
Shares Outstanding
140.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop to about (725.4 M) in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 114.9 M in 2026. At this time, Firefly Aerospace's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Sales Ratio is likely to rise to 164.76 in 2026, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (35.44) in 2026.
Firefly Aerospace Common is overvalued with Real Value of 18.52 and Hype Value of 18.01. The main objective of Firefly Aerospace stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Firefly Aerospace Common is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Firefly Aerospace's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Firefly Aerospace stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Firefly Aerospace is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Firefly Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Firefly Aerospace Common. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Firefly Stock Analysis Notes

The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.28. Firefly Aerospace Common recorded a loss per share of 2190.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of October 2015. Fly Leasing Limited, through its subsidiaries, purchases and leases commercial aircraft under multi-year contracts to various airlines worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Dun Laoghaire, Ireland. Fly Leasing is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. To learn more about Firefly Aerospace Common call Jason Kim at 512 893 5570 or check out https://www.fireflyspace.com.

Firefly Aerospace Quarterly Total Revenue

30.78 Million

Firefly Aerospace Common Investment Alerts

Firefly Aerospace is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Firefly Aerospace appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 60.79 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (231.13 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (7.22 M).
Firefly Aerospace Common has about 117.23 M in cash with (157.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.85.
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Johnson Fistel, PLLP Begins Investigation on Behalf of Long-Term Shareholders of Firefly Aerospace Inc. , Flywire Corporation , Fortinet, Inc. , and Compass Diversified Holdings

Firefly Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Firefly Aerospace's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-11-11
2025-09-30-0.41-0.330.0819 
2025-09-22
2025-06-30-0.46-0.5587-0.098721 
View All Earnings Estimates

Firefly Aerospace Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Firefly Aerospace's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Firefly Aerospace's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Firefly Aerospace's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Firefly Aerospace's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Firefly Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 7.33 B.

Firefly Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of (2.59) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (1.0) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $1.0.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.68)(0.72)
Return On Capital Employed(1.06)(1.11)
Return On Assets(0.65)(0.69)
Return On Equity 0.27  0.22 

Management Efficiency

Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.72 in 2026. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -1.11 in 2026. At this time, Firefly Aerospace's Intangibles To Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.18 in 2026, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 400.7 M in 2026. Firefly Aerospace's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Firefly Aerospace manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(6.15)(6.45)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(6.28)(6.60)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(39.57)(41.55)
Price Book Value Ratio(10.16)(10.67)
Enterprise Value Multiple(39.57)(41.55)
Price Fair Value(10.16)(10.67)
Enterprise Value7.8 BB
The decision-making processes within Firefly Aerospace are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Operating Margin
(1.00)
Profit Margin
(2.59)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of February, Firefly Aerospace shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 9453.68, downside deviation of 7.67, and Mean Deviation of 6.12. Firefly Aerospace Common technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

Firefly Aerospace Common Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Triangular Moving Average shows Firefly Aerospace double smoothed mean price over a specified number of previous prices (i.e., averaged twice).

Firefly Aerospace Outstanding Bonds

Firefly Aerospace issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Firefly Aerospace Common uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Firefly bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Firefly Aerospace Common has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Firefly Aerospace Predictive Daily Indicators

Firefly Aerospace intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Firefly Aerospace stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Firefly Aerospace Corporate Filings

13A
2nd of February 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F3
23rd of December 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
19th of December 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
15th of December 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
11th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
26th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
S1
17th of November 2025
Report filed by companies planning on going public to register their securities with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2025
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify

Firefly Aerospace Forecast Models

Firefly Aerospace's time-series forecasting models are one of many Firefly Aerospace's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Firefly Aerospace's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Firefly Aerospace Bond Ratings

Firefly Aerospace Common financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Firefly Aerospace have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Firefly Aerospace's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
6
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.93)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Firefly Aerospace Common Debt to Cash Allocation

As Firefly Aerospace Common follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Firefly Aerospace's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
Firefly Aerospace Common has 168.4 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.44, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Firefly Aerospace Common has a current ratio of 9.69, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Firefly to invest in growth at high rates of return.

Firefly Aerospace Total Assets Over Time

Firefly Aerospace Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Firefly Aerospace uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Firefly Aerospace Debt Ratio

    
  31.0   
It appears slightly above 69% of Firefly Aerospace's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Firefly Aerospace's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Firefly Aerospace, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Firefly Aerospace Corporate Bonds Issued

Firefly Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

159.14 Million

At this time, Firefly Aerospace's Short and Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year.

About Firefly Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Firefly Aerospace prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Firefly shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Firefly Aerospace. By using and applying Firefly Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Firefly entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(4.37)(4.59)
Operating Profit Margin(3.96)(4.16)
Net Loss(4.37)(4.59)
Gross Profit Margin(0.21)(0.20)

Be your own money manager

As an investor, your ultimate goal is to build wealth. Optimizing your investment portfolio is an essential element in this goal. Using our stock analysis tools, you can find out how much better you can do when adding Firefly Aerospace to your portfolios without increasing risk or reducing expected return.

Did you try this?

Run Sectors Now

   

Sectors

List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
All  Next Launch Module

Additional Tools for Firefly Stock Analysis

When running Firefly Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Firefly Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firefly Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Firefly Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firefly Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firefly Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firefly Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.